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Red73
10335.8
125712.2
27226.7
Blue86
272226.9
192334.7
22226.1
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7292204060801001201407386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103
#10
35.80.0
34.034.0
Auto11.8
Teleop21.4
End2.6
red by 1.0
34.70.3
33.033.4
Auto6.9
Teleop24.5
End3.4
Second
272
#27
26.70.0
23.323.4
Auto5.6
Teleop14.2
End6.9
blue by 0.2
2722
#24
26.90.3
24.524.9
Auto10.0
Teleop14.5
End2.5
Third
1257
#54
12.20.0
10.510.5
Auto4.8
Teleop6.8
End0.6
blue by 13.9
222
#33
26.10.3
23.423.7
Auto8.2
Teleop15.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
78%Melody oddsMissed96%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
58%Ensemble oddsMissed32%Ensemble oddsMissed