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Red63
7521.5
540123.6
48414.2
Blue69
121829.2
622617.0
901518.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions586702040801001201401606369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5401
#31
23.60.7
20.821.5
Auto12.3
Teleop8.8
End2.5
blue by 5.6
1218
#23
29.20.3
24.925.2
Auto11.4
Teleop13.3
End4.5
Second
75
#43
21.50.7
18.419.1
Auto10.0
Teleop8.6
End2.9
red by 2.9
9015
#58
18.60.3
17.818.1
Auto8.8
Teleop9.1
End0.7
Third
484
#39
14.20.7
13.914.6
Auto5.0
Teleop6.3
End3.0
blue by 2.8
6226
#34
17.00.3
16.817.1
Auto4.8
Teleop8.2
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
62%Melody oddsEarned73%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed