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Red88
55527.6
249524.0
436119.5
Blue67
428527.1
457317.4
36524.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions797502040601001201401608867

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
555
#25
27.60.8
26.827.6
Auto11.2
Teleop13.3
End3.2
red by 0.6
4285
#40
27.10.4
27.427.0
Auto12.6
Teleop13.8
End0.7
Second
2495
#29
24.00.8
25.426.2
Auto7.1
Teleop14.0
End2.9
blue by 0.7
365
#32
24.70.4
21.821.3
Auto8.8
Teleop13.6
End2.4
Third
4361
#52
19.50.8
19.019.8
Auto6.5
Teleop10.9
End2.1
red by 2.1
4573
#57
17.40.4
19.118.7
Auto6.8
Teleop9.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
77%Melody oddsEarned73%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsEarned29%Ensemble oddsMissed