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Red86
31636.7
116833.7
125712.2
Blue71
272025.8
10335.8
22322.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9285501502008671

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#5
36.70.1
34.834.9
Auto14.7
Teleop19.2
End2.8
red by 1.0
103
#10
35.81.1
34.032.8
Auto11.8
Teleop21.4
End2.6
Second
1168
#26
33.70.1
36.937.0
Auto15.2
Teleop18.5
End0.1
red by 7.9
2720
#28
25.81.1
18.817.7
Auto8.6
Teleop15.3
End1.8
Third
1257
#54
12.20.1
10.510.7
Auto4.8
Teleop6.8
End0.6
blue by 10.4
223
#13
22.51.1
25.023.8
Auto12.1
Teleop8.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
74%Melody oddsEarned89%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned