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Red109
272226.9
7521.5
139137.1
Blue73
5623.9
851327.7
540123.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions787770758085909510010510973

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1391
#22
37.10.6
26.427.0
Auto10.4
Teleop24.3
End2.4
red by 9.4
8513
#21
27.70.2
27.227.4
Auto10.2
Teleop12.6
End4.8
Second
2722
#24
26.90.6
24.925.4
Auto10.0
Teleop14.5
End2.5
red by 3.0
56
#50
23.90.2
21.221.4
Auto9.6
Teleop12.4
End1.9
Third
75
#43
21.50.6
19.119.7
Auto10.0
Teleop8.6
End2.9
blue by 2.2
5401
#31
23.60.2
21.521.7
Auto12.3
Teleop8.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
74%Melody oddsEarned70%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed36%Ensemble oddsEarned