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Red60
83423.4
27226.7
901518.6
Blue84
543817.4
692123.0
121829.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions706940506080901001106084

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
272
#27
26.70.2
23.423.1
Auto5.6
Teleop14.2
End6.9
blue by 2.5
1218
#23
29.21.4
25.226.6
Auto11.4
Teleop13.3
End4.5
Second
834
#41
23.40.2
22.021.8
Auto9.6
Teleop11.4
End2.4
red by 0.4
6921
#45
23.01.4
23.124.5
Auto9.3
Teleop10.6
End3.1
Third
9015
#58
18.60.2
18.117.9
Auto8.8
Teleop9.1
End0.7
red by 1.2
5438
#42
17.41.4
14.415.8
Auto7.0
Teleop9.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsMissed43%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
46%Ensemble oddsEarned22%Ensemble oddsEarned