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Red84
164034.4
568428.2
249524.0
Blue70
518128.0
55527.6
741424.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions957940601201401608470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.40.0
30.330.2
Auto9.9
Teleop22.3
End2.3
red by 6.4
5181
#15
28.00.2
25.124.9
Auto8.8
Teleop16.6
End2.6
Second
5684
#38
28.20.0
27.827.8
Auto9.8
Teleop16.3
End2.1
red by 0.6
555
#25
27.60.2
27.627.4
Auto11.2
Teleop13.3
End3.2
Third
2495
#29
24.00.0
26.226.2
Auto7.1
Teleop14.0
End2.9
blue by 0.8
7414
#44
24.80.2
20.520.3
Auto12.4
Teleop11.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
88%Melody oddsEarned90%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsEarned15%Ensemble oddsEarned