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Red65
139137.1
10217.9
71420.9
Blue77
181123.1
272226.9
704520.5
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6676020401001201401606577

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1391
#22
37.10.1
27.026.9
Auto10.4
Teleop24.3
End2.4
red by 10.2
2722
#24
26.90.6
25.426.1
Auto10.0
Teleop14.5
End2.5
Second
714
#20
20.90.1
16.816.8
Auto8.4
Teleop9.3
End3.2
blue by 2.2
1811
#51
23.10.6
21.622.2
Auto10.6
Teleop10.1
End2.3
Third
102
#49
17.90.1
17.317.2
Auto7.5
Teleop9.5
End0.9
blue by 2.6
7045
#55
20.50.6
20.421.1
Auto6.3
Teleop12.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsEarned56%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed