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Red69
34140.9
125712.2
7521.5
Blue89
1123.8
589538.1
540123.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7190204060801001201406989

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#17
40.90.2
36.436.6
Auto11.3
Teleop25.8
End3.8
red by 2.8
38.10.5
35.536.0
Auto14.6
Teleop20.2
End3.3
Second
75
#43
21.50.2
19.719.8
Auto10.0
Teleop8.6
End2.9
blue by 2.3
11
#46
23.80.5
22.122.6
Auto7.8
Teleop11.9
End4.1
Third
1257
#54
12.20.2
10.710.8
Auto4.8
Teleop6.8
End0.6
blue by 11.5
5401
#31
23.60.5
21.722.2
Auto12.3
Teleop8.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
65%Melody oddsMissed96%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsEarned44%Ensemble oddsMissed