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Red85
42727.7
27226.7
5623.9
Blue124
180737.0
31636.7
259034.1
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions661145010015085124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
427
#37
27.70.6
20.921.6
Auto9.9
Teleop17.4
End0.4
blue by 9.2
37.01.6
32.934.5
Auto12.6
Teleop21.9
End2.5
Second
272
#27
26.70.6
23.123.8
Auto5.6
Teleop14.2
End6.9
blue by 10.0
316
#5
36.71.6
34.936.6
Auto14.7
Teleop19.2
End2.8
Third
56
#50
23.90.6
21.422.1
Auto9.6
Teleop12.4
End1.9
blue by 10.2
34.11.6
29.831.4
Auto12.0
Teleop18.0
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsEarned96%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
33%Ensemble oddsEarned19%Ensemble oddsEarned