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Red97
127922.1
272025.8
22226.1
Blue100
909426.9
741424.8
314223.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions677620406010012014016097100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#33
26.12.4
24.326.6
Auto8.2
Teleop15.3
End2.7
blue by 0.8
9094
#30
26.91.7
26.127.8
Auto12.8
Teleop13.3
End0.8
Second
2720
#28
25.82.4
19.922.3
Auto8.6
Teleop15.3
End1.8
red by 1.0
7414
#44
24.81.7
20.322.0
Auto12.4
Teleop11.8
End0.6
Third
22.12.4
17.419.8
Auto7.3
Teleop12.1
End2.7
blue by 1.5
3142
#35
23.61.7
21.122.8
Auto5.6
Teleop16.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
69%Melody oddsEarned77%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsEarned14%Ensemble oddsMissed