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Red87
139137.1
219116.2
518128.0
Blue63
249524.0
711014.7
428527.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions777440601001208763

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1391
#22
37.11.2
26.928.1
Auto10.4
Teleop24.3
End2.4
red by 10.0
4285
#40
27.10.6
27.426.8
Auto12.6
Teleop13.8
End0.7
Second
5181
#15
28.01.2
24.926.1
Auto8.8
Teleop16.6
End2.6
red by 4.1
2495
#29
24.00.6
26.225.5
Auto7.1
Teleop14.0
End2.9
Third
2191
#59
16.21.2
17.418.6
Auto5.5
Teleop9.4
End1.3
red by 1.6
7110
#53
14.70.6
13.713.1
Auto5.2
Teleop7.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
86%Melody oddsEarned79%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
36%Ensemble oddsMissed36%Ensemble oddsMissed