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Red71
181123.1
1123.8
436119.5
Blue99
540123.6
331435.0
568428.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68954060801201401607199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11
#46
23.80.4
22.623.0
Auto7.8
Teleop11.9
End4.1
blue by 11.2
3314
#11
35.00.4
33.033.4
Auto12.9
Teleop18.1
End4.0
Second
1811
#51
23.10.4
22.222.6
Auto10.6
Teleop10.1
End2.3
blue by 5.1
5684
#38
28.20.4
27.828.2
Auto9.8
Teleop16.3
End2.1
Third
4361
#52
19.50.4
20.220.6
Auto6.5
Teleop10.9
End2.1
blue by 4.1
5401
#31
23.60.4
22.222.6
Auto12.3
Teleop8.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
62%Melody oddsEarned96%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
40%Ensemble oddsMissed39%Ensemble oddsEarned