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Red65
704520.5
140333.0
125712.2
Blue74
902718.6
55527.6
27226.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions627620401001206574

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.00.5
26.326.7
Auto11.0
Teleop20.3
End1.6
red by 5.3
555
#25
27.60.4
27.427.8
Auto11.2
Teleop13.3
End3.2
Second
7045
#55
20.50.5
21.121.5
Auto6.3
Teleop12.0
End2.3
blue by 6.2
272
#27
26.70.4
23.824.2
Auto5.6
Teleop14.2
End6.9
Third
1257
#54
12.20.5
10.811.3
Auto4.8
Teleop6.8
End0.6
blue by 6.4
9027
#47
18.60.4
16.316.8
Auto6.3
Teleop10.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsMissed61%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed64%Ensemble oddsMissed