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Red89
518128.0
692123.0
272025.8
Blue133
139137.1
36524.7
164034.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions779020406010012014016089133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5181
#15
28.01.2
26.127.3
Auto8.8
Teleop16.6
End2.6
blue by 9.1
1391
#22
37.12.5
28.130.6
Auto10.4
Teleop24.3
End2.4
Second
2720
#28
25.81.2
22.323.5
Auto8.6
Teleop15.3
End1.8
blue by 8.6
34.42.5
31.433.9
Auto9.9
Teleop22.3
End2.3
Third
6921
#45
23.01.2
23.024.2
Auto9.3
Teleop10.6
End3.1
blue by 1.7
365
#32
24.72.5
20.823.3
Auto8.8
Teleop13.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
80%Melody oddsEarned73%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
51%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsEarned