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Red58
457317.4
116833.7
32116.9
Blue76
428527.1
42727.7
181123.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7880506070901001101205876

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1168
#26
33.70.9
35.834.9
Auto15.2
Teleop18.5
End0.1
red by 6.0
427
#37
27.70.3
22.622.9
Auto9.9
Teleop17.4
End0.4
Second
4573
#57
17.40.9
20.019.2
Auto6.8
Teleop9.3
End1.3
blue by 9.7
4285
#40
27.10.3
26.827.1
Auto12.6
Teleop13.8
End0.7
Third
321
#48
16.90.9
15.314.4
Auto8.8
Teleop7.0
End1.0
blue by 6.2
1811
#51
23.10.3
22.622.9
Auto10.6
Teleop10.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsEarned77%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed