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Red106
10217.9
589538.1
192334.7
Blue88
543817.4
253932.7
331435.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions939140608010012014010688

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.10.5
35.936.4
Auto14.6
Teleop20.2
End3.3
red by 3.1
3314
#11
35.00.0
33.433.4
Auto12.9
Teleop18.1
End4.0
Second
34.70.5
31.031.4
Auto6.9
Teleop24.5
End3.4
red by 2.0
2539
#16
32.70.0
32.232.2
Auto8.8
Teleop17.8
End6.1
Third
102
#49
17.90.5
16.917.3
Auto7.5
Teleop9.5
End0.9
red by 0.5
5438
#42
17.40.0
16.816.9
Auto7.0
Teleop9.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned93%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
32%Ensemble oddsEarned68%Ensemble oddsEarned