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Red76
29318.9
108925.7
622617.0
Blue73
5623.9
125712.2
21926.2
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59652040801007673

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1089
#36
25.71.5
23.124.6
Auto9.2
Teleop14.2
End2.2
blue by 0.5
219
#19
26.20.6
24.825.4
Auto10.6
Teleop14.4
End1.2
Second
293
#60
18.91.5
17.418.8
Auto10.3
Teleop9.6
End-1.0
blue by 5.0
56
#50
23.90.6
22.322.9
Auto9.6
Teleop12.4
End1.9
Third
6226
#34
17.01.5
13.715.1
Auto4.8
Teleop8.2
End4.0
red by 4.9
1257
#54
12.20.6
11.311.9
Auto4.8
Teleop6.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsEarned54%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed