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Red70
436119.5
5623.9
434227.3
Blue70
249524.0
27226.7
253932.7
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71954060801201407070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4342
#12
27.3
Auto11.0
Teleop13.9
End2.4
blue by 5.4
2539
#16
32.7
Auto8.8
Teleop17.8
End6.1
Second
56
#50
23.9
Auto9.6
Teleop12.4
End1.9
blue by 2.8
272
#27
26.7
Auto5.6
Teleop14.2
End6.9
Third
4361
#52
19.5
Auto6.5
Teleop10.9
End2.1
blue by 4.4
2495
#29
24.0
Auto7.1
Teleop14.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
62%Melody oddsEarned86%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed92%Ensemble oddsMissed