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Red33
125712.2
29318.9
219116.2
Blue78
10217.9
48414.2
180737.0
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50832040601001201403378

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
293
#60
18.91.1
18.817.8
Auto10.3
Teleop9.6
End-1.0
blue by 18.1
37.01.5
37.736.1
Auto12.6
Teleop21.9
End2.5
Second
2191
#59
16.21.1
18.117.1
Auto5.5
Teleop9.4
End1.3
blue by 1.7
102
#49
17.91.5
17.315.8
Auto7.5
Teleop9.5
End0.9
Third
1257
#54
12.21.1
11.910.8
Auto4.8
Teleop6.8
End0.6
blue by 2.0
484
#39
14.21.5
15.914.3
Auto5.0
Teleop6.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed74%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsEarned