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Red95
42727.7
259034.1
180737.0
Blue107
116833.7
31636.7
253932.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1091155010015020095107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.00.1
37.137.0
Auto12.6
Teleop21.9
End2.5
red by 0.2
316
#5
36.70.2
36.836.6
Auto14.7
Teleop19.2
End2.8
Second
34.10.1
34.334.1
Auto12.0
Teleop18.0
End4.1
red by 0.4
1168
#26
33.70.2
33.833.6
Auto15.2
Teleop18.5
End0.1
Third
427
#37
27.70.1
27.927.7
Auto9.9
Teleop17.4
End0.4
blue by 5.0
2539
#16
32.70.2
32.832.6
Auto8.8
Teleop17.8
End6.1