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Red64
162215.8
709413.2
410722.2
Blue92
804431.6
299230.1
191212.9
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51822040601001201406492

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.20.3
21.722.1
Auto7.5
Teleop12.3
End2.4
blue by 9.3
31.60.3
30.230.5
Auto9.2
Teleop20.3
End2.1
Second
1622
#17
15.80.3
15.415.7
Auto5.9
Teleop8.0
End2.0
blue by 14.3
30.10.3
28.829.1
Auto9.9
Teleop19.7
End0.5
Third
7094
#19
13.20.3
12.713.0
Auto6.4
Teleop5.2
End1.6
red by 0.2
1912
#28
12.90.3
11.611.9
Auto3.4
Teleop9.0
End0.5