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Red63
162215.8
709413.2
410722.2
Blue122
804431.6
299230.1
191212.9
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions528320406010012014063122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.20.2
22.122.2
Auto7.5
Teleop12.3
End2.4
blue by 9.3
31.61.0
30.531.6
Auto9.2
Teleop20.3
End2.1
Second
1622
#17
15.80.2
15.715.8
Auto5.9
Teleop8.0
End2.0
blue by 14.3
30.11.0
29.130.1
Auto9.9
Teleop19.7
End0.5
Third
7094
#19
13.20.2
13.013.2
Auto6.4
Teleop5.2
End1.6
red by 0.2
1912
#28
12.91.0
11.912.9
Auto3.4
Teleop9.0
End0.5