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Red40
95035.5
36413.4
586317.0
Blue20
93092.9
5904.3
72557.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3322010405060704020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5863
#13
17.01.1
9.910.9
Auto6.4
Teleop8.6
End2.0
red by 9.9
7255
#32
7.11.2
4.43.2
Auto2.4
Teleop4.6
End0.0
Second
364
#16
13.41.1
10.711.8
Auto3.2
Teleop8.8
End1.5
red by 9.2
590
#37
4.31.2
8.26.9
Auto3.4
Teleop0.5
End0.4
Third
9503
#36
5.51.1
7.88.9
Auto3.4
Teleop1.8
End0.2
red by 2.6
9309
#35
2.91.2
8.37.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop2.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed