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Red42
401310.3
218313.9
146619.8
Blue14
37536.8
97345.5
142113.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433002060801004214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1466
#10
19.80.3
17.017.3
Auto8.6
Teleop9.0
End2.1
red by 6.2
1421
#15
13.61.6
14.412.8
Auto2.7
Teleop9.2
End1.6
Second
2183
#18
13.90.5
10.511.0
Auto2.7
Teleop10.3
End0.9
red by 7.1
3753
#31
6.81.6
6.75.1
Auto3.8
Teleop2.7
End0.3
Third
10.30.5
10.010.5
Auto0.2
Teleop9.2
End0.9
red by 4.7
9734
#34
5.51.6
7.35.7
Auto0.8
Teleop4.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsEarned18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed