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Red45
192712.8
433625.9
97179.2
Blue58
742818.1
45620.2
162215.8
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40501020306070804558

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4336
#11
25.90.4
22.623.0
Auto10.5
Teleop13.1
End2.2
red by 5.6
456
#7
20.20.6
13.212.6
Auto5.7
Teleop12.8
End1.7
Second
1927
#27
12.80.6
6.06.6
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End0.7
blue by 5.3
18.10.4
18.117.8
Auto3.9
Teleop12.3
End1.9
Third
9717
#22
9.20.6
8.69.2
Auto3.7
Teleop4.6
End0.9
blue by 6.6
1622
#17
15.80.4
12.312.0
Auto5.9
Teleop8.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed