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Red45
299230.1
3410.6
97688.2
Blue70
298722.5
303925.7
191212.9
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434830354050556065704570

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.10.2
24.124.3
Auto9.9
Teleop19.7
End0.5
red by 4.4
3039
#12
25.72.5
17.319.8
Auto9.7
Teleop14.4
End1.5
Second
34
#33
10.60.4
8.58.9
Auto5.2
Teleop4.7
End0.7
blue by 12.0
22.51.6
19.120.7
Auto9.0
Teleop12.3
End1.2
Third
9768
#23
8.20.4
7.27.6
Auto3.9
Teleop3.6
End0.8
blue by 4.7
1912
#28
12.92.5
6.59.0
Auto3.4
Teleop9.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsEarned38%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed