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Qual 242024 Magnolia Regional
Red27
971810.4
709413.2
303925.7
Blue55
742818.1
395910.8
22215.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4140203050602755

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3039
#12
25.71.0
19.8→18.8
Auto9.7
Teleop14.4
End1.5
red by 7.6
7428
#3
18.11.2
17.8→19.0
Auto3.9
Teleop12.3
End1.9
Second
7094
#19
13.21.0
9.8→8.8
Auto6.4
Teleop5.2
End1.6
red by 2.3
3959
#20
10.82.0
11.1→13.1
Auto3.1
Teleop6.8
End1.0
Third
9718
#21
10.41.0
6.3→5.3
Auto3.4
Teleop5.4
End1.5
red by 4.7
2221
#24
5.72.0
8.2→10.2
Auto1.7
Teleop3.6
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed