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Red73
804431.6
97688.2
880822.8
Blue61
142113.6
299230.1
586317.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions545440506070807361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.60.9
23.023.9
Auto9.2
Teleop20.3
End2.1
red by 1.5
30.10.0
24.324.3
Auto9.9
Teleop19.7
End0.5
Second
22.81.6
18.420.0
Auto9.3
Teleop11.1
End2.4
red by 5.8
5863
#13
17.00.0
11.411.5
Auto6.4
Teleop8.6
End2.0
Third
9768
#23
8.21.6
7.69.1
Auto3.9
Teleop3.6
End0.8
blue by 5.3
1421
#15
13.60.0
12.812.9
Auto2.7
Teleop9.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsEarned39%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed