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Red70
880822.8
191212.9
440023.0
Blue34
395910.8
95035.5
709413.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions592802040801007034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.00.7
20.921.6
Auto7.9
Teleop13.9
End1.2
red by 9.8
7094
#19
13.20.8
8.88.0
Auto6.4
Teleop5.2
End1.6
Second
22.81.2
20.021.1
Auto9.3
Teleop11.1
End2.4
red by 11.9
3959
#20
10.80.8
13.112.3
Auto3.1
Teleop6.8
End1.0
Third
1912
#28
12.91.2
8.79.8
Auto3.4
Teleop9.0
End0.5
red by 7.5
9503
#36
5.50.8
7.46.6
Auto3.4
Teleop1.8
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed