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Red66
303925.7
97179.2
142113.6
Blue57
97345.5
299230.1
971810.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4639102030506070806657

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3039
#12
25.71.1
18.819.9
Auto9.7
Teleop14.4
End1.5
blue by 4.4
30.11.4
24.325.7
Auto9.9
Teleop19.7
End0.5
Second
1421
#15
13.61.1
12.914.0
Auto2.7
Teleop9.2
End1.6
red by 3.2
9718
#21
10.42.4
5.37.6
Auto3.4
Teleop5.4
End1.5
Third
9717
#22
9.21.1
9.110.3
Auto3.7
Teleop4.6
End0.9
red by 3.7
9734
#34
5.52.4
6.28.5
Auto0.8
Teleop4.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsEarned28%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed