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Red89
709413.2
298722.5
192712.8
Blue9
22215.7
37536.8
95035.5
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49200406080100899

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.51.2
22.824.1
Auto9.0
Teleop12.3
End1.2
red by 15.7
3753
#31
6.81.7
6.54.8
Auto3.8
Teleop2.7
End0.3
Second
7094
#19
13.22.0
8.610.6
Auto6.4
Teleop5.2
End1.6
red by 7.5
2221
#24
5.71.7
8.67.0
Auto1.7
Teleop3.6
End0.3
Third
1927
#27
12.82.0
9.311.3
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End0.7
red by 7.3
9503
#36
5.51.7
6.75.1
Auto3.4
Teleop1.8
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsEarned7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed