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Red73
303925.7
146619.8
346816.5
Blue24
191212.9
93092.9
395910.8
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6024040801007324

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3039
#12
25.72.6
18.020.6
Auto9.7
Teleop14.4
End1.5
red by 12.8
1912
#28
12.90.5
10.09.5
Auto3.4
Teleop9.0
End0.5
Second
1466
#10
19.81.6
18.119.7
Auto8.6
Teleop9.0
End2.1
red by 8.9
3959
#20
10.80.5
12.111.6
Auto3.1
Teleop6.8
End1.0
Third
3468
#14
16.52.6
13.516.1
Auto5.3
Teleop9.0
End2.3
red by 13.6
9309
#35
2.90.5
4.13.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop2.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsEarned14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed