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Red40
72557.1
94359.1
218313.9
Blue55
709413.2
408711.8
299230.1
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions255802040801004055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2183
#18
13.91.2
12.213.4
Auto2.7
Teleop10.3
End0.9
blue by 16.2
30.10.4
26.426.9
Auto9.9
Teleop19.7
End0.5
Second
9435
#26
9.11.2
7.38.5
Auto2.2
Teleop6.0
End0.9
blue by 4.1
7094
#19
13.20.6
9.710.3
Auto6.4
Teleop5.2
End1.6
Third
7255
#32
7.11.2
7.18.3
Auto2.4
Teleop4.6
End0.0
blue by 4.6
4087
#29
11.80.6
12.212.8
Auto2.3
Teleop8.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed36%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed