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Red45
5904.3
395910.8
303925.7
Blue55
401310.3
162215.8
298722.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414701001502004555

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3039
#12
25.70.0
23.123.2
Auto9.7
Teleop14.4
End1.5
red by 3.2
22.50.2
22.923.1
Auto9.0
Teleop12.3
End1.2
Second
3959
#20
10.80.0
10.410.5
Auto3.1
Teleop6.8
End1.0
blue by 5.0
1622
#17
15.80.2
13.013.2
Auto5.9
Teleop8.0
End2.0
Third
590
#37
4.30.0
3.94.0
Auto3.4
Teleop0.5
End0.4
blue by 6.0
10.30.3
5.76.0
Auto0.2
Teleop9.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed42%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsEarned