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Red50
880822.8
586317.0
37536.8
Blue20
97179.2
97129.9
22215.7
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52280204060805020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.80.4
21.421.0
Auto9.3
Teleop11.1
End2.4
red by 12.9
9712
#30
9.90.7
11.210.5
Auto4.8
Teleop3.5
End1.6
Second
5863
#13
17.00.4
16.716.4
Auto6.4
Teleop8.6
End2.0
red by 7.7
9717
#22
9.20.7
9.99.2
Auto3.7
Teleop4.6
End0.9
Third
3753
#31
6.80.4
6.05.6
Auto3.8
Teleop2.7
End0.3
red by 1.2
2221
#24
5.70.7
6.86.1
Auto1.7
Teleop3.6
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed