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Red37
36413.4
433625.9
93092.9
Blue28
37536.8
3410.6
395910.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50270204060801003728

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4336
#11
25.90.7
25.024.3
Auto10.5
Teleop13.1
End2.2
red by 15.0
3959
#20
10.80.1
10.510.6
Auto3.1
Teleop6.8
End1.0
Second
364
#16
13.40.8
13.612.8
Auto3.2
Teleop8.8
End1.5
red by 2.9
34
#33
10.60.1
11.111.2
Auto5.2
Teleop4.7
End0.7
Third
9309
#35
2.90.8
3.62.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop2.4
End0.6
blue by 4.0
3753
#31
6.80.1
5.65.7
Auto3.8
Teleop2.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed