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Red44
410722.2
192712.8
95035.5
Blue45
915311.3
408711.8
45620.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4149102030607080904445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.20.3
20.020.3
Auto7.5
Teleop12.3
End2.4
red by 2.0
456
#7
20.20.1
18.418.5
Auto5.7
Teleop12.8
End1.7
Second
1927
#27
12.80.3
12.613.0
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End0.7
red by 1.0
4087
#29
11.80.1
12.812.9
Auto2.3
Teleop8.2
End1.3
Third
9503
#36
5.50.3
5.15.5
Auto3.4
Teleop1.8
End0.2
blue by 5.9
9153
#25
11.30.1
12.112.3
Auto5.4
Teleop4.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsEarned