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Red79
299230.1
191212.9
804431.6
Blue70
146619.8
162215.8
586317.0
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75512040601001207970

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.60.9
28.028.9
Auto9.2
Teleop20.3
End2.1
red by 11.8
1466
#10
19.80.7
19.420.1
Auto8.6
Teleop9.0
End2.1
Second
30.10.9
26.927.8
Auto9.9
Teleop19.7
End0.5
red by 13.1
5863
#13
17.00.8
16.317.1
Auto6.4
Teleop8.6
End2.0
Third
1912
#28
12.91.2
10.011.1
Auto3.4
Teleop9.0
End0.5
blue by 2.9
1622
#17
15.80.7
13.213.9
Auto5.9
Teleop8.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
84%Melody oddsEarned35%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed