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Red11
94359.1
191212.9
36413.4
Blue79
804431.6
142113.6
915311.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403920305060701179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
364
#16
13.42.4
13.110.7
Auto3.2
Teleop8.8
End1.5
blue by 18.1
31.62.1
19.521.6
Auto9.2
Teleop20.3
End2.1
Second
1912
#28
12.92.4
11.59.1
Auto3.4
Teleop9.0
End0.5
blue by 0.7
1421
#15
13.63.4
11.014.4
Auto2.7
Teleop9.2
End1.6
Third
9435
#26
9.12.4
8.35.9
Auto2.2
Teleop6.0
End0.9
blue by 2.2
9153
#25
11.33.4
7.711.1
Auto5.4
Teleop4.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed