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Red16
97129.9
146619.8
37536.8
Blue35
971810.4
395910.8
440023.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444420304050601635

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1466
#10
19.81.7
18.717.0
Auto8.6
Teleop9.0
End2.1
blue by 3.2
23.01.2
20.018.8
Auto7.9
Teleop13.9
End1.2
Second
9712
#30
9.92.9
11.88.9
Auto4.8
Teleop3.5
End1.6
blue by 0.9
3959
#20
10.81.8
11.910.0
Auto3.1
Teleop6.8
End1.0
Third
3753
#31
6.82.9
9.66.7
Auto3.8
Teleop2.7
End0.3
blue by 3.5
9718
#21
10.41.8
7.75.9
Auto3.4
Teleop5.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsEarned