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Red39
95035.5
5904.3
433625.9
Blue41
346816.5
22215.7
410722.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43371020305060703941

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4336
#11
25.90.0
22.622.6
Auto10.5
Teleop13.1
End2.2
red by 3.6
22.20.5
17.217.7
Auto7.5
Teleop12.3
End2.4
Second
9503
#36
5.50.1
7.77.8
Auto3.4
Teleop1.8
End0.2
blue by 11.0
3468
#14
16.50.8
8.59.3
Auto5.3
Teleop9.0
End2.3
Third
590
#37
4.30.1
8.18.2
Auto3.4
Teleop0.5
End0.4
blue by 1.4
2221
#24
5.70.8
8.59.2
Auto1.7
Teleop3.6
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed