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Red54
45620.2
971810.4
37536.8
Blue22
408711.8
97345.5
192712.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373502060805422

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
456
#7
20.21.2
18.519.7
Auto5.7
Teleop12.8
End1.7
red by 7.5
1927
#27
12.80.8
13.012.2
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End0.7
Second
9718
#21
10.41.2
9.210.4
Auto3.4
Teleop5.4
End1.5
blue by 1.4
4087
#29
11.80.8
12.912.2
Auto2.3
Teleop8.2
End1.3
Third
3753
#31
6.81.2
5.76.8
Auto3.8
Teleop2.7
End0.3
red by 1.3
9734
#34
5.50.8
6.35.5
Auto0.8
Teleop4.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsEarned10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed