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Red60
218313.9
804431.6
395910.8
Blue30
298722.5
3410.6
5904.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6140020801006030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.60.5
28.929.4
Auto9.2
Teleop20.3
End2.1
red by 9.1
22.50.6
22.521.9
Auto9.0
Teleop12.3
End1.2
Second
2183
#18
13.90.5
13.514.1
Auto2.7
Teleop10.3
End0.9
red by 3.4
34
#33
10.60.6
11.210.6
Auto5.2
Teleop4.7
End0.7
Third
3959
#20
10.80.5
10.611.1
Auto3.1
Teleop6.8
End1.0
red by 6.6
590
#37
4.30.6
4.94.3
Auto3.4
Teleop0.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
57%Melody oddsEarned28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed