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Red47
97129.9
299230.1
93092.9
Blue29
915311.3
191212.9
22215.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47310204060804729

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.10.1
27.827.9
Auto9.9
Teleop19.7
End0.5
red by 17.2
1912
#28
12.90.3
11.110.8
Auto3.4
Teleop9.0
End0.5
Second
9712
#30
9.90.1
9.89.9
Auto4.8
Teleop3.5
End1.6
blue by 1.4
9153
#25
11.30.3
12.311.9
Auto5.4
Teleop4.3
End1.6
Third
9309
#35
2.90.1
2.72.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop2.4
End0.6
blue by 2.8
2221
#24
5.70.3
6.25.9
Auto1.7
Teleop3.6
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed