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Red58
36413.4
162215.8
410722.2
Blue36
97688.2
95035.5
146619.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55350204060801005836

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.20.7
20.321.0
Auto7.5
Teleop12.3
End2.4
red by 2.5
1466
#10
19.80.0
20.120.2
Auto8.6
Teleop9.0
End2.1
Second
1622
#17
15.80.7
13.914.7
Auto5.9
Teleop8.0
End2.0
red by 7.6
9768
#23
8.20.0
8.28.2
Auto3.9
Teleop3.6
End0.8
Third
364
#16
13.40.8
12.813.6
Auto3.2
Teleop8.8
End1.5
red by 8.0
9503
#36
5.50.0
5.55.5
Auto3.4
Teleop1.8
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsEarned24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed