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Red73
433625.9
440023.0
915311.3
Blue51
298722.5
45620.2
192712.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions696102040801001201407351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4336
#11
25.90.2
26.226.4
Auto10.5
Teleop13.1
End2.2
red by 3.4
22.50.1
22.622.5
Auto9.0
Teleop12.3
End1.2
Second
23.00.2
23.323.5
Auto7.9
Teleop13.9
End1.2
red by 2.7
456
#7
20.20.1
20.320.2
Auto5.7
Teleop12.8
End1.7
Third
9153
#25
11.30.2
11.611.8
Auto5.4
Teleop4.3
End1.6
blue by 1.5
1927
#27
12.80.1
12.912.8
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End0.7