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Red61
804431.6
299230.1
191212.9
Blue67
410722.2
709413.2
162215.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80512040601001206167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.60.2
29.629.4
Auto9.2
Teleop20.3
End2.1
red by 9.3
22.20.1
21.721.7
Auto7.5
Teleop12.3
End2.4
Second
30.10.2
28.227.9
Auto9.9
Teleop19.7
End0.5
red by 14.3
1622
#17
15.80.1
15.315.4
Auto5.9
Teleop8.0
End2.0
Third
1912
#28
12.90.2
11.010.8
Auto3.4
Teleop9.0
End0.5
blue by 0.2
7094
#19
13.20.1
12.612.7
Auto6.4
Teleop5.2
End1.6