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Red80
433625.9
440023.0
915311.3
Blue62
142113.6
880822.8
401310.3
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6948204060801001208062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4336
#11
25.90.5
25.726.2
Auto10.5
Teleop13.1
End2.2
red by 3.1
22.80.1
22.622.8
Auto9.3
Teleop11.1
End2.4
Second
23.00.5
22.823.3
Auto7.9
Teleop13.9
End1.2
red by 9.4
1421
#15
13.60.1
13.413.6
Auto2.7
Teleop9.2
End1.6
Third
9153
#25
11.30.5
11.211.6
Auto5.4
Teleop4.3
End1.6
red by 1.1
10.30.1
10.110.3
Auto0.2
Teleop9.2
End0.9