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Red74
192712.8
45620.2
298722.5
Blue49
408711.8
146619.8
346816.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62522040801007449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.50.3
22.322.6
Auto9.0
Teleop12.3
End1.2
red by 2.7
1466
#10
19.80.0
19.819.8
Auto8.6
Teleop9.0
End2.1
Second
456
#7
20.20.3
20.020.3
Auto5.7
Teleop12.8
End1.7
red by 3.7
3468
#14
16.50.0
16.516.5
Auto5.3
Teleop9.0
End2.3
Third
1927
#27
12.80.3
12.612.9
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End0.7
red by 1.0
4087
#29
11.80.0
11.811.8
Auto2.3
Teleop8.2
End1.3